back to top

Solely 5 of UK brokers’ FTSE 100 picks have outperformed the index in 2025

Related Article

Picture supply: M&S Group plc

In January, AJ Bell checked out all the FTSE 100 suggestions made by UK brokers. The funding platform then ranked the picks primarily based on the proportion of ‘experts’ advising their shoppers to purchase every inventory.

High of the league

Primary on the listing was Video games Workshop, though it’s necessary to notice that the video games and miniature figures group was solely coated by three brokers. Even so, its year-to-date return has been practically 4 occasions larger than the FTSE 100 index.

Since 1 January, solely 5 of the ten have outperformed the Footsie. After all, there’s no have to panic as a result of, for my part, profitable investing requires taking a long-term view. However AJ Bell’s analysis does illustrate there aren’t any certainties on the planet of shares and shares.

Inventory Analysts (quantity) % Purchase suggestions Share price change (%)
Video games Workshop Group 3 100 +15
Prudential 15 93 +37
Beazley 14 93 +11
Intermediate Capital Group 16 88 -3
Glencore 15 87 -26
DCC 13 85 -8
Informa 12 83 -1
Barclays 17 82 +20
IMI 17 82 +6
Marks & Spencer 16 82 -8
Supply: AJ Bell and London Inventory Trade / share price change from 1.1.25 to fifteen.5.25

No crystal ball

For instance, it’s not possible to precisely predict metals costs or the worldwide demand for commodities. Considerations over each of those variables have most likely performed an element within the disappointing share price efficiency of Glencore.

After which there’s poor outdated Marks & Spencer (LSE:MKS), the meals and vogue retailer. On Easter Monday, particulars emerged of an assault on its IT techniques.

On 25 April, occasions took a flip for the more serious. Because of this, the corporate determined to “pause” taking orders by way of its web site and app. Nonetheless, clients have been nonetheless capable of browse on-line and all of its shops have been open as regular.

Subsequently, newspapers reported exhausted employees sleeping in its head workplace and executives having to make use of their private telephones to speak with each other.

On 13 Might, it was revealed that some clients’ private information had been stolen. To be truthful, none of this might have been predicted.

An costly enterprise

Nonetheless, the monetary penalties for Marks & Spencer are more likely to be vital. In 2024, on-line income in its clothes and residential division was £1.22bn, round £3.3m a day. At this stage, it’s unclear how a lot is likely to be reclaimed from its insurers.

And shareholders have suffered too. The group’s share price is now 14.5% under its 52-week excessive. Nonetheless, since Might 2020, it’s nonetheless up a formidable 29%.

However now might be a very good time to purchase the inventory. Though the cyberattack’s been disruptive – and probably costly – I don’t assume the enterprise has essentially modified. Having mentioned that, its repute has taken a little bit of a knock.  

Nonetheless, I’m assured the group may have discovered its lesson and improved its IT techniques. I reckon one other profitable assault’s unlikely.

And there are different the explanation why I just like the inventory. The group’s been working laborious to refresh its product strains and has closed some loss-making shops. Additionally, it had one other good Christmas with like-for-like meals gross sales up 8.9% and clothes 1.9% larger.

For its 2025 monetary yr, analysts are forecasting earnings per share of 28.98p. If right, this suggests a ahead price-to-earnings ratio of 12.3, which has similarities to different excessive avenue retailers.

However vogue retailing’s a troublesome enterprise. Client tastes can change rapidly leaving loads of unsold inventory. As well as, the corporate’s dividend is on the imply aspect.

Personally, I feel the cyberattack’s an unlucky blip from which the group will quickly get better. And as a result of its iconic model, cheap valuation and powerful meals gross sales, M&S might be a progress inventory for traders to think about.

Related Article