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Purple flag! This FTSE 100 inventory seems to be actually overvalued to me

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The FTSE 100 hit report highs earlier this week, with some shares inside the index additionally hitting recent 52-week highs. Despite the fact that there are nonetheless some good worth picks to be discovered, I’ve noticed one FTSE 100 inventory I believe’s too overvalued for me to contemplate proper now.

Wanting on the numbers

I’m referring to Rightmove (LSE:RMV). The UK’s main on-line property portal has a comparatively easy enterprise mannequin. It connects residence patrons, renters, and builders (making the location free for them to make use of) with property brokers, landlords, and builders (who pay to listing properties and for promotional instruments).

The inventory’s at its highest stage since January 2022. At 778p, it’s not distant from the all-time highs of 800p from late 2021. It’s not simply the price that makes it probably overvalued. In comparison with the earnings per share, it offers a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.97. That is nearly double the ratio for the FTSE 100 as a complete.

Some would possibly say that I’m higher off evaluating the ratio to corporations in the identical space, somewhat than the broader market. After I do that, issues aren’t a lot better. If I have a look at housing builders like Taylor Wimpey, I observe the P/E ratio of 14.59. On this case, the inventory’s effectively away from 52-week highs and appears a way more enticing solution to get publicity to the property market.

An alternate manner could be not a homebuilder however somewhat one other tech firm that gives a portal for customers. Trainline could be an instance of the same firm on this regard. It has a P/E ratio of 20.97. So in each circumstances, Rightmove seems overvalued to me.

Justifying the price

It’s true that there’s nothing improper with inserting a excessive worth on an organization if it could actually proceed to outpace investor expectations. But the newest replace in Could noticed the administration crew affirm the outlook for income progress of 8%-10% for this yr. It’s not dangerous, however it doesn’t have a wow issue. The enterprise expects a 1% improve in member numbers for the yr.

Once more, I wrestle to see how explosive progress will happen right here to justify the premium set on the present share price.

I may very well be improper, with synthetic intelligence (AI) being one issue that might speed up progress. Rightmove not too long ago launched an AI-powered remortgage mannequin and built-in AI options into the location’s performance. This might assist pace up the property-finding course of, making the enterprise extra environment friendly and worthwhile.

I’ll have to attend and see how the remainder of the yr pans out for Rightmove. I’m optimistic on the property sector usually, however suppose I can discover a lot better-value choices (like Taylor Wimpey) to specific this view.

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