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Fed fee cuts to assist bolster commodity demand: Wells Fargo By Investing.com

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Investing.com — Wells Fargo analysts are optimistic that the Federal Reserve’s latest fee cuts will present a much-needed enhance to commodity markets, anticipating that this coverage shift will drive international demand within the coming months. 

Traditionally, commodities have carried out effectively following the primary Fed rate of interest reduce, notably in non-recessionary durations. 

According to this historic development, Wells Fargo expects that decrease borrowing prices ensuing from these fee reductions will stimulate demand, contributing to the continuing commodity bull market.

The Fed’s choice to scale back rates of interest by 50 foundation factors in September marked a pivotal second, because it was the primary reduce for the reason that pandemic shock of 2020. The quick response from commodity markets has been promising. 

Gold costs surged to all-time highs of over $2,600 per troy ounce, whereas the broader Bloomberg Commodity Index rose by 3.4% inside per week of the Fed’s announcement​. 

Analysts at Wells Fargo imagine that these price actions sign the start of a longer-term development, bolstered by a mixture of world liquidity will increase and improved borrowing circumstances.

Wells Fargo’s analysts emphasize that the absence of a U.S. recession additional strengthens the case for a commodity demand surge. 

Traditionally, when fee cuts have occurred in a non-recessionary setting, commodity costs have persistently risen over the following 12-18 months.

Analysts predict that the present cycle will comply with this sample, with the additional advantage of the Fed’s aggressive rate-cutting strategy offering a supportive financial setting. 

Moreover, they argue that the mixture of decrease charges and the Fed’s average strategy will forestall a pointy financial downturn, additional fueling demand throughout key commodities like metals, power, and agriculture.

Wells Fargo expects this favorable backdrop for commodities to solidify, with a continued concentrate on international financial restoration. The easing cycle initiated by the Fed is prone to create a brand new liquidity wave, spurring funding and consumption throughout rising and developed markets alike. 

Analysts preserve a optimistic outlook on the Bloomberg Commodity Index, focusing on a spread of 250 to 270 by 2025​.

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